There's nothing more to say at this point other than to reiterate what I've been saying for 6 months: turnout is going to be massive and the election will not be close.
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Kerry 311, Bush 227.
Here are the latest Gallup polls, which are methodologically biased towards Republicans (the agency adds 5-8% to the Republican totals based on the anachronistic assumption that Republicans turn out in higher numbers, which has not been true since 1988):
Minnesota 10/31/04: Kerry 52, Bush 44
Ohio 10/30/04: Kerry 49, Bush 45
Florida 10/30/04: Kerry 50, Bush 46
And one by one, all the morons on the news will sit there with a tense, We'll-Get-To-The-Bottom-of-This look on their faces wondering aloud how they could have gotten it so wrong. Maybe after a few months of ruminating they will start to realize the fallacy of their polling methodologies.
Or maybe they will just blame Bill Clinton.
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Amy says:
Exit polls in Florida show Kerry with a significant lead. Thirty percent of the state has already cast their ballots, 51% favoring Kerry. Maybe democrats are over eager, but I don't think so. I think Kerry will win this election, and not by a tiny margin as the popular press would have us believe. (But a tight race is oh so much more interesting, isn't it?)
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/2004-10-31-poll-x_x.htm
erik says:
Yes, all the more amusing seeing as the Jeb Bush was on Limbaugh this morning claiming that the exit polls show Bush with a significant lead in Florida…. Perhaps further evidence that modern day republicans will only see what they want to. Either that or he knows something about which ballots are going to be counted that we don't.
Ed says:
Given that Jeb is, well, the dumb one of the family, I wouldn't put too much stock into his word.
Kyle says:
Ouch… Your guess was…. Man, this pisses me off, fuck Bush.