Day: November 8, 2006

Wait. No it isn't.

Sayonara, fuckface. It's been swell. Wait. No it hasn't.

The Democrats learned one very important thing from W in 2000: declare victory, and do it as soon as practicable.

Tester and Webb have declared victory in MT and VA after the last remaining uncounted votes from Tuesday were tallied.

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Tester's 3,000 vote margin is unlikely to disappear in sparsely-populated Big Sky country.
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Webb's declaration of victory is a bit more tenuous. He leads by about 7,000 out of 2.3 million votes cast. That's considerably more iffy. But by declaring victory and showing a lead at this moment, he psychologically establishes himself as the "legitimate" claimant and the losing Allen as the "sore loser" challenger. Worked wonders in 2000, and it should do the same here.

Due to some complicated election rules in VA, no recounts can begin until after 11/27. Here's hoping that George Allen has enough decency to concede and not turn this into a 2-month fiasco.

Who the fuck are we kidding. George Allen has no decency at all. Get ready.

1a. Did anyone else catch Shepard Smith losing his f'n mind on Fox News at about 1 AM (EST)? He looked like his head was going to explode and went on some bizzare, incomprehensible 90-second rant about how the Democrats will need to find a leader to step up and realize that the war we are in is a war for the existence of our civilization. After that it became essentially impossible to understand, as he threw disconnected batches of words at the screen while choking back tears and bile.

1b. I came to the stunning and somewhat sad realization last night that, in voting for Baron Hill in my Congressional race, it marked the first time in my life that I have voted for someone for President, Senate, or Congress who actually won. Mind you, I have voted in every election after 1994. Unfuckingbelievable.

2. Whatever happens in Montana and Virginia, I hope to God it is decided by the recounts and not by the courts.

I don't think America can take another 6-week vote-counting debacle that is ultimately decided by a nonsensical ruling from a Republican judge.

3. Where did I go wrong with the Senate calls? Well, in Tennessee I did the classic bet-with-your-heart-instead-of-your-brain. I really like Harold Ford and I wanted him to win.
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All signs indicated otherwise, though. In New Jersey, I think I've learned something about underestimating the power of corrupt but incredibly powerful Democratic urban turnout machines.

Kean was the better candidate, but the GOP's disadvantages in that state are just too huge. Lesson learned.

4. When the smoke clears, the Democrats will have about 30-32 House gains.
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They did better than expected thanks to a strong showing out west. WY-At Large will end up being decided in a recount and is incredibly close. That the Republicans could end up hanging on for dear life in such a seat is stunning.

5. The miracle of gerrymandering in action: of California's 53 House seats, exactly one changed party control. One. But it was a big one – noted lunatic defense industry hooker Dick Pombo was taken down. In Illinois, none of the 19 seats flipped.

6. I hate Joe Lieberman. Jesus H Tap-Dancing Christ on a Crutch, do I ever hate Joe Lieberman.